This is a rather interesting week to make a comparison of the group, and each stock in the group, with the group performance in 1997.
In the August, September, October time frame in 1997 the group sum had a rather broad top extending for about 8 weeks. The best weekly performance of the group, however, was the week closing 9/19/97. This makes a 2 year comparison period thru the closing prices of this past Friday, 9/17. The comparison is shown below.
Even though the group performance from last October, nearly a year ago, until now has been terrific, the group is still "sucking wind" compared to 9/19/97. Out of the 36 stocks in the group, only 11 have exceeded their 9/19/97 closing price. That leaves 25 lower than the price in 1997. The bottom 7 in the group are not even up to 50 percent of their price in 1997, 2 years ago.
At the group level, the sum is down 16 percent from the 9/19/99 level. Note that over the same time period, the SOX-X is up 48 percent. That this performance is reasonable can be seen by looking at AMAT, TER, NVLS and KLAC, the 4 stocks in the group of 36 that are included in the SOX-X index, all have positive gains over the 2 year period. Even though the 4 stocks all have positive gains, the sum of the 4 stocks added together have a combined gain of 32 percent which is quite a bit below the 48 percent gain of the SOX-X. What does all this mean? - probably nothing, however, compared to 1997 the group has a way to go to even reach their price level in 1997, and a large majority of the stocks therein have a long way to go to get back even to their performance in 1997.
To finish on a more positive note, for those of you who bought and held PHTN over the 2 year period, congratulations!!! 09/19/97 09/17/99 CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT SYMBOL COMPANY PRICE PRICE CHANGE PHTN Photon Dynamics 6.75 22.75 237 AMAT Applied Materials * 48.85 84.81 74 LTXX LTX 7.38 12.69 72 TER Teradyne * 26.78 40.63 52 ASML ASM Lithography Holdings 47.94 64.88 35 LRCX Lam Research 51.88 63.81 23 NVLS Novellus Systems * 56.75 67.75 19 HELX Helix Technology 31.19 34.19 10 KLAC KLA Instruments * 69.88 73.00 4 ATMI ATMI Inc 34.75 35.63 3 CYMI Cymer 35.31 35.63 1 COHU Cohu 51.13 48.00 -6 MASK Align-Rite International 21.25 19.55 -8 CMOS Credence Systems 54.13 49.50 -9 MTSN Mattson Technology 15.00 13.50 -10 PLAB Photronics 30.00 25.75 -14 NANO Nanometrics 12.56 10.00 -20 GSNX Gasonics 22.38 17.55 -22 EGLS Electroglas 30.31 23.75 -22 DPMI Dupont Photomasks 65.63 49.75 -24 ASYT Asyst Technologies 45.00 33.63 -25 IMSC Integrated Measurement Systems 17.75 13.25 -25 ETEC Etec System 59.75 43.44 -27 PRIA Pri Automation 54.69 39.38 -28 BRKS Brooks Automation 38.00 22.31 -41 WFR MEMC Electronic Materials 32.38 18.00 -44 SMTL Semitool 18.63 10.13 -46 VECO Veeco Instruments 66.88 34.13 -49 KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries 52.75 26.81 -49 FSII FSI International 18.00 8.69 -52 UTEK Ultratech Stepper 32.13 13.63 -58 TGAL Tegal 8.75 3.38 -61 SVGI Silicon Valley Group 34.88 12.06 -65 SFAM SpeedFAM 51.63 13.44 -74 CFMT CFM Technologies 36.50 8.50 -77 ASEC Aseco 16.75 3.47 -79 TOTALS 1304.32 1097.37 -16 SOX-X Phili Semiconductor Index 382.71 565.22 48 * Component of 16 stock SOX-X Index |