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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.00+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST
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To: Jerry Olson who wrote (26427)9/21/1999 8:52:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
OJ, you may have a point there...however, if rising wages and input costs are not passed on, margins will inevitably shrink further, leading to a slowdown in corporate profitability.
re. the Fed, this too is something i have been considering lately, namely that it is possible that the Fed will not tighten further because of the problems other countries experience as well as the strain in the credit markets as evidenced by the vast increase in credit spreads. possibly the Fed will be content to leave things alone at the next FOMC meeting and merely change the bias until further economic evidence trickles in. i'm certain though that there will be heated debates over the signs of emerging cost push inflation at that meeting. whether the hawks will prevail or not is anyone's guess at this point.

regards,

hb
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