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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 105.01-5.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: unclewest who wrote (30081)9/21/1999 11:54:00 AM
From: FLSTF97  Read Replies (1) of 93625
 
Oops, originally I had assume a net profit margin equal to today's gross margin but typed in the 75%.

The 10x is due to the fact that what was once an extreme growth rate just slammed into the ceiling (based on the assumptions taken). So I would think that you could almost value the stock like a bond or more mature company with slower growth rates or a utility company. Let's just say that they pay out all the earnings each year and that that equates to $20 per share. What would you pay for such a share? It has some upside potential due to market growth of which you own 100%. Some (although slight until patents lapse) risk that you can be displaced by new technology. At that point it almost starts to look like very much like a commercial bond, doesn't it?

That's my rational, but I'm more interested in finding other thoughts that support why the PE should be 20 or 50 or?

Thanks for your inputs
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