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Biotech / Medical : QDEL - Quidel more quick diagnosis
QDEL 25.37+4.2%11:19 AM EST

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To: Robert Busse who wrote (545)4/5/1997 12:20:00 PM
From: Howard Schellenberg   of 1693
 
Just got back from vacation - boy I must have been typing real fast to say 20-30 million in revenues! Sorry for the confusion. What the rep told me was that QDEL had sold 8 million dollars of strep tests in March. Eight million in Sales, not income.

That is some amazing news. And, HELL YES, I think January and February were just as strong if not stronger. The strep virus cases are way up in Jan-Feb over March.

Now that I have a bit more time to do the math, lets see.....

January - estimate 8 million
February -estimate 8 million
March - he said 8 million

Total Sales = at least 24 million, probably more, since strep is only one of their products and the figure of 8 million was for US sales only.

So, we already know from previous conversations that for every dollar over 9 million in their sales, about 50% goes to the bottom line.

so 24 million - 9 million = 15 million/2 = 7 million in income for the quarter.

They have (as you say) about 22 million shares outstanding.

so 7 million in income/22 million shares is .37 per share for the quarter.

Even if I'm only half right, the stock will explode to at least $20.
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