THE RUMORS ARE FLYING FOR LYCOS........CMGI and Lycos: Back in the Saddle?
By Jim Evans and James Ledbetter
There they go again: Internet investment firm CMGI is in talks to increase its stake in portal company Lycos (LCOS) , according to a source familiar with the negotiations.
CMGI currently holds about 18 percent of Lycos, and has at various times sought to increase that to a majority stake. The present talks, according to the source, could yield such a result, pending the approval of the Lycos board of directors. Both companies declined to comment on whether any such talks were taking place.
The current talks resume the on-again, off-again flirtation between the two Massachusetts-based firms. Although neither company's CEO confirmed any negotiations, both executives – Lycos' Bob Davis and CMGI's David Wetherell – said in separate interviews Monday that their relationship is sound.
"David and I get along great," Davis said. "After the USA deal broke apart, we had a peace pipe and broke bread."
In February, Lycos tried to do a complex deal with Barry Diller's USA Networks (USAI) . During those negotiations, Wetherell, who initially voted for the deal as a Lycos director, left the board after he grew disenchanted with the merger's terms. Ultimately, the deal broke apart after substantial shareholder protest.
"It wasn't personal, it was business," Wetherell said in an interview Monday. "Bob [Davis] was just selling it too hard and he's a great salesman. I thought at the time it could affect his credibility."
Back in early June, rumors about a possible CMGI bid for Lycos began circulating, though officials at both firms declined to confirm that talks had taken place. On June 24, The Wall Street Journal disclosed the negotiations, but said that discussions had stalled as tensions grew between the two CEOs.
What could complicate any deal between the companies is that the preferred deal structure, a "pooling of interests," wouldn't be possible for Lycos until Oct. 9, per securities regulations covering tax write-offs. Indeed, technically, the companies cannot even begin talking until Oct. 9, according to one analyst, if the ultimate goal is for CMGI to take a majority interest in Lycos and write it off using a pooling structure. However, CMGI might be able to increase its stake to less than 50 percent and have an option to buy more of Lycos later.
As the last major portal that is still essentially independent, Lycos continues to be a tempting takeover target. According to MediaMetrix, the Lycos network of sites had about 29.4 million unique visitors in August, making it the fourth-largest Web destination. In the three months ended April 30, 1999, Lycos reported a loss of $13.3 million on revenues of about $35 million.
CMGI was responsible for much of the early funding of Lycos. Recently, CMGI has been on a buying spree for properties that – especially if combined with Lycos – would make a formidable Web company across a variety of platforms. Just yesterday, CMGI announced the Acquisition of AdForce, the Cupertino, Calif.-based Internet advertising firm, in a deal valued at about $500 million. Most industry observers feel that the AdForce acquisition is designed to help CMGI form a competitor to DoubleClick (DCLK) , the New York-based leader in the Net advertising category.
Wetherell says that CMGI's goal in the next 12 months is to capture the top spot in MediaMetrix's audience-reach numbers. The company took its first step toward that goal in late June, when it acquired a majority stake in the search engine AltaVista in a deal valued at approximately $2.3 billion. AltaVista's sites were ranked 10th on MediaMetrix's list of Web properties in July.
Andrea Williams, managing director of equity research at online investment bank E-Offering, said that if a CMGI-Lycos deal goes through, "it would accelerate the development of CMGI's properties."
For its part, Lycos needs something to jump-start its stock. "Lycos has to get investors excited in its stock again," Williams said. "It's got to have a break-out deal, not more of the same.
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