The outlook is very good for this stock for the second half of 1996 and 1997: 1) Microsoft is getting ready to release an updated version of its Windows NT networking software. This will have more connections between the operating system and Internet software and can be used with a larger number of computers. Many businesses will be setting up networks when this software becomes available. 2) "People are having a lot more corporate data on their networks. Intranets in the next couple of years will be the biggest opportunity for us" - Bill Gates, in an interview in March with Bloomberg Business News. 3) Transnet is in a position to take advantage of the trend towards outsourcing. "As companies look to cut costs and become globally competitive, they are outsourcing more of their business to smaller companies that can perform important functions cheaply and efficiently." - Mutual Fund manager Elizabeth Bramwell, quoted in the year-end edition of the Wall Street Journal. 4) From Transnet's May 1 release of quarterly results: Service and support revenues increased by over 25% during the quarter, and we have taken initiative to further expand our service and support offerings. Based upon anticipated increases in service and support contracts in the second half of calendar 1996 and into 1997, we intend to significantly increase our service and support staff of technicians, systems engineers and Microsoft and Novell Certified personnel. The wide acceptance of Microsoft Windows 95 and Windows NT by large corporate and educational institutions has created significant oursourcing opportunities for which we are competing. The results from these opportunities awarded to Transnet are anticipated to be realized in the second half of this calendar year. We are also evaluating the software tools that can best handle our clients' needs concerning the "Year 2000" correction and are taking great initiatives to pursue related opportunities. In addition to these developments, we are negotiating a long term lease on certain property owned by Transnet. Based on the current terms of the proposed lease, we believe that, upon completion, income from this lease will initially increase earnings by approximately $225,000, or 0.04 cents per share per year. 5) Transnet offers one stop shopping - customers can purchase everything they need for a network - hardware, software, and support services. 6) The company is getting more and more of its profits from services. This means that its revenues will be stable over time. 7) There is a barrier to entry in this business - you need a staff of highly trained people. These are going to be in short supply as the amount of networking increases.
There was a good write-up on the company in last November's issue of "Individual Investor" magazine that you might also want to look at. |