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Biotech / Medical : Lincare Holdings

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To: Kiriakos Georgiou who wrote ()4/6/1997 1:16:00 AM
From: Mark B.   of 33
 
I just shorted Lincare for the following reasons and would appreciate any insights from the bulls on this stock: a) this is the year for Medicare to reduce the oxygen benefit. In two newspaper articles last month, two different Govt officials indicated that something was imminent. Also, it is a simple fact that Medicare pays nearly double the rate being paid by some other entities.; b) the oxygen benefit can be reduced in two different ways - a fee schedule cut and tighter controls over who gets (or keeps) oxygen systems in the first place. I spoke to a company who rents the equipment and his observation was that lots of people keep oxygen who don't need it and that the Govt should require annual or semi-annual Dr. reviews to determine whether the oxygen continues to be necessary. c) the Govt is going to push for 30-40% reductions which will reduce Lincare's net income by 40+% (since all of the reduction will flow to their bottom line). Any comments? Thanks.
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