Richard, I have just read yesterdays posts on this thread and noticed a request from someone for an update on Bill Murphy.
Follows is just a very small portion from the Cafe, but it includes mention of a Kondrattieff wave student of interest.
(from lemetropolecafe.com)
Taylor: Last month, Dr. Ravi Batra, who was interview in these pages last month, said he thinks it is highly likely we will see a market crash by the end of this year. At the very latest, he believes we will suffer a catastrophic downturn during the first or second month of 2000. And the only long-term investment he is suggesting people make is in gold and gold shares.
Murphy: I could not agree with him more.
Taylor: What you are saying dovetails pretty well from a timing perspective not only with Batra's views but also with the views of Ian Gordon, a Kondrattieff wave student who also thinks the market will crash before year end. In fact, Ian has chosen a specific date early in September. I would not want to be so specific myself, but that is what he thinks.
Murphy: Well, let me just add something here if I may. A top-flight financial man in England named Kenny Butler Henderson told me he had lunch with Alan Greenspan in 1971. Greenspan told him then that his goal was to become Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank. At that time Greenspan, was a Kondrattieff disciple himself. He told Henderson that he would do anything he could to prevent the Kondrattieff wave from crashing on his watch. And it appears to us that this is exactly what he has done. But we think he has only postponed the inevitable.
Taylor: So you think he has been doing all he can to fool the natural cycle of the Kondrattief Wave.
Murphy. Yes, we think he has been facilitating the bubble and part of this facilitation has been to hold the gold price down and to take all the money these institutions could borrow in the gold markets and use it for other purposes. I can't blame Greenspan solely for all this. He had Secretary of the Treasury Rubin there too with his powerful Wall Street connections so Greenspan may not have had all that much choice in the matter.
Taylor: Of course, Greenspan wanted to do his job well and nearly everyone worships this man.
Murphy: They do now. What will they say if the markets collapse? Watch what happens when folks begin to see their 401-k savings evaporate. There will be a witch-hunt. Meanwhile, the big guys, i.e., the Roberts Rubins of this world will have retreated from the market while the average Joe will not know what hit him. We think this process may already be underway evidenced by the continued weakness in the stock market. Although the popular averages have held in pretty well, the average stock on the NYSE is down something like 20% from its peak this summer.
Taylor: On another note, have you ever been concerned about your personal safety in your hunt for the truth regarding potential manipulation of the gold markets?
Murphy: Yes, I have been warned by many.... |