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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread Formerly Known as No Rest For The Wicked
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To: jas cooper who wrote (63536)9/30/1999 10:33:00 PM
From: CrazyTrain  Read Replies (2) of 90042
 
Name one person on SI with a BETTER track record at predicting takeovers than Tim? Takeovers are unique in that everyone (who buys and holds) can win (unlike the many P&D'ers who exit at the top and leave the "flock" holding the bag). Some who trade in and out may win more or lose out on the largest gain if they are not holding when it happens.

There is no advantage for Tim in sharing his picks with us. He takes a lot of flack for his picks. He researches very hard on the picks that he gives us (for FREE). He may buy on the dips but he gains nothing if the price increases or decreases as the final price is set in the takeover terms (unless you believe that he has the power to influence the final price of a takeover). Tim only wins if he is right. He is not perfect and is not right 100% of the time, but if you had followed his advice every time I doubt that you would be complaining now. Tim must be very secure in his CS pick in order to put so much of his holding in CS and then go on a vacation (I'll bet he is watching CS on Monday morning). The other great thing about a takeover play is that once you are convinced its a done deal, you don't have to stare at your computer and try to time the market. When it happens its over and that's it. You are either a very big winner or you are kicking yourself. Is it risky? No more than any other tech stock. CS is a good stock with high potential and should be a good long-term hold no matter what. Monty
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