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Politics : Ask Michael Burke
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To: Freedom Fighter who wrote (68579)10/3/1999 1:01:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) of 132070
 
The coming Bear Market
I can't say "when" it will arrive but I have the big picture
of how it will arrive.
Demographics will be the chief cause.
While I don't have the data, what to look for will be new
job creation numbers vs the retirement numbers.
I don't mean hamburger flipping jobs, but jobs that have 401Ks,
the main driver in this market is retirement funds.
---------------------

Now stocks are just paper ( there is NO money to back them )
and assets values fall right along with the market.
To draw out retirement means someone has to "BUY" your shares
so when more people start to retire than we have putting
money into retirement the market has only one way to go.

This is a little overly simple , actually it takes more
buyers than sellers just to keep the market from sinking
as the overhead causes the market to sink of it's own
weight when all you have is one buyer for each seller.
-----------------------
Demographics was the basic cause of Japans bear market, and
it will happen here. My guess is in about 10 to 12 more
years, but that's just a guess if you know how to
obtain the data of regular retirement money coming in
vs people going on retirement you will get a better picture.

Meanwhile market and currency manipulation will let the good
old boy gang continue to milk most of the benefits and
stash away their profits in secrete accounts or buying up
dept they know they can foreclose on.
Jim

PS
Wall street insiders already know this, and the push to get
S.S. money into the market is to extend the ponzi scam,
as for the most part the market is just one big ponzi scam
any time TAX money is tossed into it forget the concept
of a free market. It's just a more sophisticated form of
communism than Marx was able to dream up.


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