P.
That sums it up pretty well. You'll notice in that list that there is a preponderance of hardware companies in search of a decent O/S (INTC,CPQ,DELL,1/2IBM). They're all playing their own version of 'Waiting for Godot' while they lose critical marketshare/mindshare to SUNW. At this point, it's gonna be tough for ANYONE to catch Sun in the server market.
There could even be someone out there with a better MP than SUNW, there could be someone else out there with superior cacheing, someone else with better storage, someone else with better authentication/security, someone else with superior network drivers, etal... BUT, the real point is this: SUNW has got it all together in a package. It's one-stop-shopping for corporate and internet servers from the highest to the lowest level requirements. That's why I keep calling SUNW a solutions company. It means that they are a breed apart from companies like INTC, DELL, & CPQ, or anyone else, for that matter.
Assume you just brought your own ISP or e-commerce company public. Everything is riding on your QOS. It HAS to be 7x24 with high availability and redundancy to the extent of less than 1 hour downtime per year. And it MUST be a secure operating system. You have to be able to take 1 million+ hits per day and you need high TPC/C benchmarks with reliable database servers. You need the ability to expand the servers and their capabilities with your expected business growth.
Where do you go for your hardware?? Where do you go for your software?? Dell?? Compaq?? HP?? Intel?? I don't think so. You don't need a fast chip with awesome cacheing capabilities, you don't need a whizzy gui with talking paper clips, you need a SOLUTION. That means you have 2 choices: SUNW or IBM.
I don't see any real challenge to SUNW's growth in this market. This is a market that has now reached just 5% saturation. When it does reach saturation, SUNW will have a BIG chunk of it and will continue to make money on maintenance and service.
As long as e-commerce grows, SUNW shareholders are in the money. It's just that simple. |