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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Skeet Shipman who wrote (43883)10/10/1999 7:36:00 AM
From: William H Huebl  Read Replies (2) of 94695
 
Skeet,

Well here goes... from an "NT" to a (don't know your Myers-Briggs handle):

Drop back a minute and examine the real meaning behind Moore's law... I believe it applies to concept generation AS WELL as implementation strategies. Now it may not be an 18 month cycle, per se, but I believe a newer concept will come along that will immensely surpass the remaining potential of chip geography. For example, and I brainstorm here, all the effort thus far has been going into compaction of chip transistors... which are used in the mindless processing of arithmetic and logic operations as well as corresponding I/O and related operations. Maybe we need the emphasis to go to FUNCTIONALITY... redesign integrated chip logic to provide for specific functions other than pure math? You need a video board which is nothing more than computing components assembled in such a way to drive your monitor screen. Same thing with sound cards. Why not integrate what it takes to run a TV or speaker (monitor and sound outputs) so THEY work efficiently and effectively rather than over-design a computing system that needs to convert business processing to the analog world? Am I making sense here.

Now my example may not be worth a hoot and a holler... but someone else with the knowledge is going to come up with an approach which renders transistors obsolete just as the transistor rendered the vacuum tube obsolete. In the end stage of the vacuum tube (I was there, I ought to know) the emphasis was on miniturization, reduction of power consumption and other design approaches we are using right now on computers.

Perhaps all this work on how the brain works will yield something!

So when that new concept comes along, make sure you buy into the company that owns the patents... THAT will be your new Intel!

Bill
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