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Microcap & Penny Stocks : Globalstar Telecommunications Limited GSAT
GSAT 51.32+9.4%3:52 PM EST

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To: Geoff Goodfellow who wrote (7941)10/21/1999 3:14:00 PM
From: Rocket Scientist  Read Replies (5) of 29986
 
Geoff, I'd like to commend you for making the most articulate bearish argument on G* I've ever read. Time doesn't permit me to respond as fully as I'd like, but a few counterpoints:

AMSC and INMARSAT h/w is "luggable" but not really mobile and h/w costs are at least 2X what G*'s suggested retail price for a handset; as a GEO based provider they have latency effects that can't be eliminated.

Inmarsat's price of 3$ (I've never seen anything less than that, btw) is substantially higher than G* for the types of (regional) calls that G* expects to be by far the most common. If the 1.50 price you mention is really available from INMARSAT, fully terminated, then I suppose for international calls it may be cheaper than G*, but how often do people make international calls on their cellular phones?

The other important question: how much does Inmarsat charge it's distributors (i.e., how much profit incentive/pricing flexibility do they have). In G*'s case we know that the difference in G*'s price to the GWs and the suggested retail price to consumers is about 1$ (to be split between GW and retailer). Out of that 1$, 0.7-0.8 is almost certainly pure profit. Message: the retailers and GW operators will have plenty of incentive to push the service, and room to reduce rates if necessary to attract customers.

Regards,

RS
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