Ladies and Gentlemen:
I'm pleased to report the results of the sixth period (first half) of the Loral price prediction
pool. Most of you will recall we started this pool in April to commemorate the first
anniversary of our April 21, 1998 all time high. 66 entries were submitted
predicting the high/low/close for the one year period to end April 21, 2000. Winner will
be the entry with the lowest sum of the absolute value of error in each of the h/l/c
predicts. As of 10/21, our h/l/c is 22.875/15.81/15.81
Overall, we were down 10% in the latest month and at the contest low notwithstanding a remarkable string of successful launches (eleven satellites on five launch vehicles from three launch sites) and the long awaited G* service launch at Geneva Telecom. In the six months since starting the contest, we are also down 10%; during this period Loral successfully launched (or acquired, in the case of Apstar III) three GEO spacecraft and 24 Globalstar spacecraft.
During the last month Loral underperformed G*(-6.1%), GMH (+20.5%) and SPOT (+4.5%) as well as the DOW(-2.7%) and NASDAQ (+0.7%.). Since the contest start, Loral's 10% loss is worse GMH(+28.1%), SPOT (+32.2%), GSTRF (+24.4%) the DOW (-2.7%) and the NASDAQ (+12.6%). The only change in the relative contest standings was the advancement of short SofLD from 4th to 3rd place. Mr. Proofsheet remains in first place and a close of below 14 7/8 or above 26 ¾ is required to change that.
Place, Entrant/Entry, Score
1, Mr. Proofsheet 25/14/23, 11.13
2, Bernard Levy 24/9/20, 12.13
3, SofLD 20.75/10/10.75, 13.00
4, BrianW 32/15/19, 13.13
5, crawlingbug 33/16/28, 22.50
6, Dandreaja 35/16/26, 22.50
7, mmeggs 34/16/30, 25.50
8, GH 38/15/28, 28.13
9, ccryder 35,15,32, 29.13
10, Valueman 35/16/33, 29.50
11, mtnlion 38/15/31, 31.13
12, rhkgt 37/16/35 , 33.50
13, lorlurker 38/16/34, 33.50
14, Still Crazy 88 38/16/35, 34.50
15, NorthForce 39/10/34, 40.13
16, dabenks 41/15/37, 40.13
17, Mr. Adrenaline 39/17/39, 40.50
18, MH 41/16/39, 41.50
19, brianh 40/13/40, 44.13
20, Coff drop 48/15.5/36, 45.63
21, Don Limb 44/15/40, 46.13
22, Moron_35 46/16.5/40, 48.00
23, Gremlin 43/17/43, 48.50
24, Wlong41 46/16/42, 49.50
25, Blockhead3 49.9/16.9/38.1, 50.38
26, VASCARman 48/16/42, 51.50
27, Corgini: 46/14.5/43, 51.63
28, jopowa 45/17/45, 52.50
29, Djane 49/13.5/42, 54.63
30, six sigma enigma 48/13/45, 57.13
31, Mick 51/15/44, 57.13
32, epona 00 51/16/45, 57.50
33, RocketScientist: 52/16/44, 57.50
34, Peter Hudson 48/17/48, 58.50
35, LORWORKER: 56.25/14.75/41.3, 59.94
36, Dwight Martin 50/15/48, 60.13
37, Nancy Haft 52/15.75/48, 61.38
38, Robert. G. Brown, 52/16/48, 61.50
39, SnowShoe 60/15/40, 62.13
40, KThiel: 52/14.5/49, 63.63
41, Steven Rachbach 56/15/48, 66.13
42, Jim Parkinson, 60/16/45, 66.50
43, Dragonfly 55/16.5/50, 67.00
44, Chart 2000 55/13/50, 69.13
45, Halpcar2 56/16/52, 69.50
46, Tim A 56/15/52, 70.13
47, Jim Fleming 56/17/52, 70.50
48, JeffVayda: 60/14/48, 71.13
49, Thomas 63/16.25/48.5, 73.25
50, Safety Agent Man59/16/53., 73.50
51, CrisisWhatCrisis 68/14/49, 80.13
52, ReaganDuBose 60/17/60, 82.50
53, LoralLong:66/15/55, 83.13
54, BKPSY 66/16/63, 90.50
55, AR2BW 65/17/65, 92.50
56, Tastychap 69/16.9/65, 96.44
57, ltfequities 72/ 17/65, 99.50
58, GeneralHQ 73/16.5/ 65 , 100.00
59, Chessen29 76/17 /72, 110.50
60, ChuckKieger 84/18/77, 124.50
61, loree 20 120/20/40, 125.50
62, mstudm 98/13.75/78, 139.38
63, Noel de Leon 110/16/95, 166.50
64, Tahoetech 127/17/80, 169.50
65, E Haiken 125/15/115, 202.13
66, roskie 186/16/175, 322.50
Thanks again to everyone for playing and good luck to all (especially roskie!). I'll report back next month, or earlier if stock price movement warrants.
YO&HS
RS
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