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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 660.08-0.8%Nov 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: Robert Rose who wrote (31239)10/24/1999 2:58:00 PM
From: Stcgg  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
WR0NG!

There is no bullish argument for the near-term trend.. All indices are at resistance in a downtrend, the most recent entry is the Nasdaq, with a lower low and now a possible lower high in place..

Expect a mop-up rally in the Dow & S&P early next week, followed by a sharp and steep decline in wave 3 of the downtrend.. Wave 3 is the longest in the Elliott Wave pattern..

Dow resistance levels are 10507-10525, with higher resistance at 10592-10719.. The Nasdaq completed a perfect fibonacci 78.6% wave 2 retracement on Friday morning, it is ready to begin a sharp fall down toward support at 2168 in the futures, 105 7/8 in the QQQ's..

The 5Day ARMs is overbot @ .768.. The CBOE shows widespread complacency..

Recent volatility and the zig-zag nature of the upward retracements give added clear evidence to the argument that recent rises have been corrective, rather than impulsive waves..

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