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Technology Stocks : TIBCO Software Inc - ( Nasdaq - TIBX )

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To: Mohan Marette who wrote ()10/24/1999 6:18:00 PM
From: Jack Hartmann  Read Replies (2) of 289
 
TIBX vs. NEON ASWX VITR IONA

Usually comparisions are easy, but this took some time because of the rechecking for quarterly data.
Some data bases are not accurate.
Also IONA reported Sept earnings and this was not reflected in many databases also.
I put Iona's Jun and Sep earning for comparision vs. sep and dec.

TIBX NEON ASWX VITR IONA
Current$ 33.62 27.31 30.43 55.68 21.12
52wkHI 41.38 78.38 30.43 62.81 50.75
HIdate 7/16/99 4/6/99 10/22/99 10/12/99 2/1/99
52wkLO 19.75 12.19 12.50 30.03 12.13
LOdate 8/10/99 8/10/99 8/16/99 9/29/99 8/24/99
MKTcap 1,939M 778 642 1660 483
P/E na na na na 62
JH-P/eq 37 36 52 71 17
EPS lq (.10)Aug (.28)Jun (.54)Jun (.25)Jun (.06)Jun
EPS-E nxt (.03)Nov (.12)Sep (.15)Sep (.16)Sep (.05)Sep
EPSFY99 (.19)Nov (.12)Sep (.49)Dec (.45)Dec .31 Dec
EPSFY00 (.04) .06 (.20) (.34) .85
Share out 60M 32 23 30 20
Float 7.2M 18 3.5 3.0 .6
BookV 2.3 10.59 (3.32) 0.94 ???
RevQ 24M 26 5.1 6.2 26
AssetQ 166 380 13 28 112
LT Liab 0 0 59 0 24
Insider% 88 44 85 90 97
Inst% .1 80 0 ? 23
StrongBuy 3 1 3 1 5
Buy 0 3 0 3 3
Hold 0 6 0 0 3

My summary
TIBX is a HOLD.
Fairly priced at this level based on earnings forecasted for next year.
Rev growth per quarter is good.
NEON is BUY.
Mtk cap relative to VITR and TIBX is half.
Price is good buying opportunity with positive EPS next year.
Rev growth is good.
ASWX is a SELL.
Lagging behind the others in the profitability picture.
Only one with negative book value.
VITR is a SELL.
High price to forecasted earnings.
Better rev growth than competitor, but this may not be able to keep up.
IONA is a BUY+. Low price to earning, profitable.
Small float makes it subject to momo traders swings.
Capitalization to revenues is the best of the group.
Not a Strong buy due to EPS decrease from Sep99 from Jun99.
IONA looks undervalued when compared to its peers. Profitable company with a small float.

I have owned ASWX as a short term trade.
The other four, I have never owned.
I watch TIBX all the time and did the comparison, because IONA was mentioned in a broker report.
I could find anything else that laid these five companies side by side.

IONA due to small float being hyped by TMex.

Good luck on these stock. Feedback appreciated.
Jack Hartmann
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