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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 35.62-6.0%2:53 PM EST

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To: John F. Dowd who wrote (91034)10/27/1999 11:20:00 PM
From: Harry Landsiedel  Read Replies (1) of 186894
 
John F. Dowd. Re: "Hard to believe that they are keying off CPQ." It's not just CPQ. It's CPQ on top of IBM, which is on top of HWP.

I listened to the conference call with Cappelas, and he did not want to commit to a number for 4Q. He said that the order book looks very strong today but the last 6 weeks of the quarter was a "crapshoot". He said it was the toughest quarter to estimate in the computer business. That kind of conservative approach is bound to make the analysts nervous.

He also mentioned they were OK on DRAM and LCD's for notebooks but were concerned about shortages of microprocessors. That was bound to impact Intel.

Re: "What I was really surprised about was the reduction of next years earnings." I totally agree. What they don't make in 4Q they will probably make up in 1Q, but these analysts are doing it by rote.

IMHO, Cappelas was taking a page out of MSFT's notebook and underpromising and overdelivering (hopefully). But short-term the analysts will trim estimates.

HL
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