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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club

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To: Investor2 who wrote (9520)10/28/1999 9:55:00 AM
From: Wally Mastroly  Read Replies (1) of 15132
 
Y2K musings...

Some companies (including Big Blue) have started to use the Y-word in there recent announcements. Some references could be legit - others may be a cover for more systemic company-related problems. Sorting out the wheat from the chaff may be difficult...

Different scenarios have been postulated - ranging from doomsday to ho-humm.

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Re: Inventories and Quarterly Sales - Y2K impact on same:

One could postulate various scenarios...

It is not clear to me which is the most likely to occur - although I am leaning toward this one as the most probable:

* For fear of delays at the start of year 2000, manufacturing companies may stockpile critical supplies early (or may have already?) - increasing sales in the 3rd and/or 4th quarter of 1999. If so, there could be a corresponding decrease/slowdown in their orders of the same supplies in the following quarter(s) - 4th Qtr 99/or 1st Qtr 2000.

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Re: Orders for new computers (and/or new computers)- a more complicated situation.

...to be continued....
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