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To: bill meehan who wrote (72461)	10/28/1999 5:14:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (1) of 86076

Bill, my read is that low ECI does not rhyme with low unemployment, at least not at this stage. Something is misreported badly. IMHO there is some weakness in consumer buying power which will translate in corporate earnings which in turn will pressure the market. Retail sales are weak this is quite important IMHO and it shows in retail stocks. Bonds will de-couple from the stock market and as soon as the economy will soften so will the stock market as they 401K programs will shrink. Closed puts I wrote two days ago and today I wrote calls. IV is quite high so let collect some premium <GG> Haim

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