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Biotech / Medical : Cell Pathways (CLPA)

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To: tuck who wrote (313)10/29/1999 11:22:00 AM
From: StockMiser  Read Replies (1) of 566
 
LOL...you are right.

I trade biotechs based on DD first, Charts second, other trading indications last. My memory is focused mostly on the scientific data. As Seuss himself said, it all comes down to FDA approval, which has nothing to do with charts or short interest.

If approved, the shorts will be swept away like tiny row boats in a hurricane. If it fails, the longs will sink with the ship and drown in an ocean of dispair. Neither side will have time to react if they are still holding.

All that matters is the data, and the data points to approval. The fact that they have submitted an additional 6 months of data is also to their advantage. The FDA can also look at patients who have recieved continuous treatments for 3 years. I think they have enough to render a decision one way or the other. All of the data I have seen is positive, including the huge response rate.

The odds are clearly in favor of approval.

My only opinion of "trading factors" is that if we see CLPA on the agenda for the December ODAC, 90% of the shorts will not dare holding until approval, which will alone propell the stock forward.

God I love this game :-)

SM
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