net_tech,
Very well put. In the past I have heavily favored Newbridge STOCK over Cascade stock, because I have generally found Newbridge to be generally undervalued, or fairly valued at most, while Cascade seemed to be obscenely overpriced. Additionally, being Canadian, I must admit to being somewhat biased towards the local-company-makes-it-big vibe.
I know a lot more about Newbridge because I have actively sought information about the company. Cascade seems like "the enemy". My attitude is certainly not rational (although it's easier to hold Newbridge stock, as a Canadian company, in my retirement plan).
I would certainly welcome a discussion directly contrasting the positioning and strengths of these two companies. This would be of substantial benefit to shareholders/prospective shareholders of both companies, particularly since many investors cannot possibly be exposed to the intricacies of the ATM market enough to understand what they're really holding/buying.
Purely from a valuation viewpoint, I find Newbridge to be pretty close to a screaming (long-term) buy. This, however, conservatively assumes that this company will be able to grow its business substantially over a period of years. Is it reasonable to assume that there is room in the ATM market for more than one strong player? If so, there is a lot of money to be made in this stock. I don't need to believe that Newbridge will one day rule the world; I just need to believe they can achieve sustainable growth.
I know many people on this thread will be quick to make the bull's case for Newbridge stock. It would help me if, on an investor-to- investor basis, somebody like you (who is perhaps leaning towards the Cascade/whoever else camp) could realistically concede that there is probably a lot of growth in Newbridge's future.
-Andrew |