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Technology Stocks : Nokia (NOK)
NOK 6.910-0.9%Nov 11 3:59 PM EST

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To: tero kuittinen who wrote (2625)11/3/1999 11:30:00 AM
From: slacker711  Read Replies (1) of 34857
 

The most likely explanation is that Nokia and Motorola are taking
market share as fast as they can ramp up production. You can argue
that they are not doing so well - but the numbers don't back you
up.


I'll try one more time....Let's just focus on the second half of the
year.

Qualcomm will ship close to 30m chips during the second half of the
year. Exactly how many CDMA phones do you think are being sold???
I'll make a little table....

Q's ASIC's Market Share 2nd half Run-rate
30m 90% 33.33m 66.67m
30m 80% 37.50m 75m
30m 70% 42.86m 85.71m
30m 60% 50.00m 100m
30m 50% 60.00m 120m

I am curious which of the above numbers you subscribe too....Maybe you
are right that QCOM's ASIC share has fallen but that means that the
overall percentage of phones sold which are CDMA has already
surpassed your target of 20% market share in 2003.

Personally, I think that you are way off base on this one. I can
understand most of your viewpoints (disagree but
understand)....However if you think that there has been a MOT/NOK
explosion in CDMA you are off-base. You are going to
have to show me some unit numbers which back up your assertions.

Slacker
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