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Technology Stocks : All About Sun Microsystems

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To: David Kelly who wrote (22260)11/4/1999 1:23:00 PM
From: Stormweaver  Read Replies (4) of 64865
 
Dave, let's remember that in order to have rich, powerful and extendable desktops there must be added complexity. Therefore it follows that TOC is higher for a PC than a dumb terminal; but remember it leads to greater productivity. This is why 100 M PC's sold this year with at least 80% of them running a windows OS.

I contend that currently there is nothing close to the simplicity/power for users than a Windows desktop. Thin client (a.k.a. marketing dept renamed to Sun Ray) must solve these issues before becoming accepted; which IMHO will be years away:

1. Equal or better application functionality; as compared to Windows.
2. Security ; my data is stored out there on some disk.
3. Net bandwidth - just not there yet.
4. Stability: unproven technology, if the server goes down or my network has problems my desktop is dead.
5. Cost/benefit; if I can buy a fully functional PC for a couple hundred dollars more then what's the point.

Once these are in place they need to try and convince the corporate world to switch. Convince them to spend millions of dollars buying new hardware, retraining people and translating stored data into new formats.

I think Linux has a better chance of usurping Windows. Linux investment from the big boys is a two edged sword - one the desktop it's good since it pushes Msft aside, but on the server side it cuts into sales.

As Charles says, just IMHO of course.
Cheers
James

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