VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC)

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To: Pallisard who wrote (15755)	11/5/1999 9:30:00 PM
From: I. N. Vester	Read Replies (2) of 27311

BS indicator seems to be quantifying negative posts (at least that's how i read the vague description). It makes a lot of sense that there is a high correlation between price getting pushed down and negative posts appearing. But BSI is probably confusing cause and effect. i.e. not that negative posting causes the price to fade (although it may not be without influence), but rather that the price going down allows all the shorts to come out and twist and shout 'i told you so'. As usual they will ask longs to prove a negative such as 'if the product is so good, and production is working why doesn't the stock go up'? But nothing proves that the posters are paid touts of the money on the short side. Could also be that they are just fixated on their belief that they know more than the longs, and when the stock goes down they like to come around and puff themselves up. It's the so-called Cockroach effect: in summer they come out in droves. This does not prove that the cockroaches cause summer to occur, nor that they are paid touts of the dept of sanitation.

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