Compaq Message Board - Msg: 11837040

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Technology Stocks : Compaq

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To: Elwood P. Dowd who wrote (71185)	11/7/1999 3:42:00 PM
From: rupert1	Read Replies (5) of 97611

El: Instead of guessing when the price of CPQ and DELL will converge, or 4Q earnings, how about a competition to guess what will happen on Monday? Scenario 1 - - rise from $20 7/8 (the true close) to $21 7/8 was artificial caused by a few late trades, probably short covering ahead of the weekend: - upward momentum early Monday will be troubled by market uncertainty about the MSFT ruling and by uncertainty about its effects on COMPAQ: - initially the price will retreat to $19 1/2 - $20 1/2 range: later it will stabilise on heavier than normal volume and towards the end of the day will rise to $21 before falling back to close at $20 1/2: Scenario 2 - the momentum generated on Friday, anticipation of good press on November 10th and short covering will maintain price at $21 - 21 7/8 for first half of day, it will move to $23 and close at $21 1/4.

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