As the only packetized wireless network (that i'm aware of), I was surprised that Nextel was not mentioned in the following article. But then again they always have held their cards close to the vest.
Posted: 11/1999
Taking Wireless to the Next Level Will Wireless Data Fly Without a Packetized Voice Component? By Fred Dawson
Mobile wireless service providers are at a crucial point in their migration to data services where their next moves will profoundly affect their ability to exploit market demand for Internet protocol (IP) data- and voice-enhanced services.
As operators of digital cellular and personal communications services (PCS) networks rush to implement the first phase of data rollouts across the country, their focus so far has been on finding technical solutions that will allow them to migrate as cheaply as possible from today's typical data rates at 14.4 kilobits per second (kbps) or lower to the rates of 64kbps, 144kbps and higher that are widely recognized as essential to long-term success. The question is whether their migration strategies will include the relatively painless steps required to put in place the distributed packet switching and signal control architectures that could deliver the voice and other value-added components that will enable wireless data services to fly in the future.
"For a lot of people in wireless, a future that incorporates IP has become a mantra, but how to get there still isn't clear," says Jon Shantz, vice president of market development at Cisco Systems Inc. (www.cisco.com). "The big problem with wireless data standards so far is that they've been all about making wireless data transport possible without focusing on creating the distributed architecture that's essential to providing value-added services."
The wireless industry is barking up the wrong tree when it couches its thinking about the evolution to data in traditional telecommunications terms, agrees Merle Gilmore, president of the communications enterprises unit at Motorola Inc. (www.motorola.com). What carriers should focus on is "the transition away from circuit switch-dominated hierarchical architectures to a distributed IP packet-switched architecture," Gilmore says. "This will facilitate a single architecture capable of delivering the voice services and the data applications whether you're using GSM (global system for mobile telecommunications), CDMA (code-division multiple access) or any of the new standards that are being proposed."
Cisco and Motorola have teamed on an initiative aimed at focusing industry attention on this question, where the goal is to establish a standardized approach to exploiting packet-based network technologies regardless of which air interfaces are used. "Right now we're seeing a variety of pseudo standard and proprietary approaches beginning to enter the marketplace, but we haven't seen anything yet that addresses the need for a unified approach," Shantz says, although, he adds, "some of the bleeding-edge wireless guys are beginning to understand what the future is going to require."
For example, reports Mark Whitton, director of CDMA access product management at Nortel Networks (www.nortelnetworks.com), AirTouch Communications Inc. (www.airtouch.com), which has been operating data services longer than most cellular companies, has begun testing voice over IP (VoIP) technology. AirTouch, which didn't respond to a request for comment, has been a leading force in pushing vendors to develop platforms for the delivery of higher-speed data.
Sprint PCS (www.sprint.com), too, is thinking about the larger infrastructure issues surrounding integrated packet services, possibly with an eye toward working with Cisco and Motorola and other, unnamed vendor partners in the initiative. "Anything that reduces network operating costs, provides for more efficient transport or adds additional functionality to the network is very much in line with our strategic focus," says Keith Paglusch, Sprint PCS senior vice president.
The migration path to an all-IP infrastructure should start with creating packet-based interfaces between the complex operational protocols of the wireless domain and points of interconnection between the backhaul network of the wireless system and the IP cloud common to all IP networks, Shantz says. "Traffic efficiency is better than 2-to-1 on the number of calls you can maintain over a T1 or other connection using packet technology as opposed to circuit technology," he notes.
Eventually, the goal is to accomplish all the code translation between the wireless and IP communications systems right at the base station so all components of the wireless network infrastructure are communicating in the language of IP. Somewhere between these two stages, it will be possible to begin putting voice signals onto the packet backbone, allowing carriers to avoid the costs of circuit switching as they deploy new infrastructure, Shantz says. "Our intention is to make use of the same distributed call agent model for wireless IP voice that we're pursuing in the wireline market," he adds.
New Tricks
Such thinking is new to the wireless industry, where operators in most areas have their hands full dealing with the ravages of price competition while they try to build out their networks. It's now, as new infrastructure is being built, that the long-term picture must be understood if people are to avoid paying potentially devastating penalties in the near future, warns Matthew Desch, president for wireless networks at Nortel.
"There's an opportunity for wireless operators to make sure they don't act like the wireline operators did five years ago," Desch says. "When the Internet came along, [wireline operators] saw their business as providing access and missed the chance to brand it and provide value-added services, and now they're rapidly trying to take this data traffic off the circuit-switched networks so they can actually deploy services."
Moreover, Desch adds, wireless operators face the same cost-driven imperatives to move into the packet networking domain wireline operators are experiencing. "Data applications are exciting, but the business case revolves more around cost than anything else," he says.
"IP technology as a basis for the network is a very, very cost-effective technology," Desch says. This is because packet rather than circuit switching is not only much more cost effective for data, it offers "great advantage for voice as well."
The good news for wireless operators, as they consider the vast possibilities of data-based services, is the equipment they can now turn to support near-term expansion needs also supports the long-term migration path they are looking for, no matter what the ultimate IP architecture turns out to be. The main barrier to moving forward was eliminated earlier this year with settlement of intellectual property issues surrounding creation of a third generation (3G) migration path that would work for all the major air interfaces, including GSM, IS-136 (the digital communications air interface used by AT&T Wireless (www.attws.com) that relies on time-division multiple access techniques) and IS-95 (the leading U.S. PCS deployment platform based on CDMA).
The key area of dispute was between those in the GSM sector who wanted to use a CDMA-based system known as W-CDMA for 3G capabilities and those, like Sprint PCS, that wanted to go with a version--CDMA2000--that was backward compatible with their current IS-95 or CDMAOne platform. Now, the ability of each side to tap into the technical foundation of the other allows them to create a universal standard closer to full interoperability among various platforms than was possible before.
Many cellular and PCS companies, including some that recently launched 14.4kbps, plan to begin delivering data over mobile wireless networks at speeds up to 144kbps starting in the second half of 2000. These companies will use a technical foundation that will allow them to jump to three times that speed or faster via software upgrades in the ensuing years. In addition, technical gains on the mobile side are making possible fixed wireless voice and data options at even higher speeds, giving providers an opportunity to compete head-on with wireline service providers in the high-speed data and voice markets.
"The systems won't be completely converged in the sense that they are exactly identical, but they'll be close enough to support interoperability among various iterations of these systems with multimode phones," says Nortel's Whitton. Moreover, he says, CDMA2000 specifications have stabilized to where vendors can develop prototypes for demonstrations and market tests while they wait for the final specs to emerge.
Such demos are generating orders for second-generation IS-95 systems at an accelerating pace worldwide, promising a demand-driven cost curve that should make it cheaper for U.S. companies now using first-generation gear to upgrade to state-of-the-art second-generation products. The second-generation products will offer higher capacity and greater coverage from a base station module or frame than first-generation systems. "We're starting to see a lot more capacity in the orders for buildouts now," Whitton says.
A Different Angle
Sprint PCS, for example, now in the third phase of its nationwide buildout plan, is pushing these new base stations into previously uncovered rural areas and into market cores where the need to handle a higher volume of traffic is the driving factor, notes Michael Robinson, vice president and general manager for network services at Sprint PCS. "In some cases we're leaving the old base stations in and just adding the new ones, but in other instances we'll take them out and use them somewhere else," Robinson says.
Once these new base stations are in place, the IS-95 data migration strategy involves a two-step implementation of CDMA2000 technology that starts with insertion of new circuit cards in the second-generation base stations, which push the data carrying rate to 144kbps. These cards change the frequency allocation per radio frequency (RF) carrier from 1.25 megahertz (mHz) to 5mHz and, in that sense, are 3G compatible, but they retain the channelization configuration of the previous generation system, thereby allowing the use of existing handsets.
With these 1xRTT (radio transmission technology) circuit cards installed in today's second-generation base stations, carriers will be able to download software to support an upgrade to full 3G or 3xRTT implementation, which will operate at speeds in excess of 384kbps on the mobile side and as high as 2 megabits per second (mbps) over fixed links. However, users will have to buy new handsets to capitalize on these capabilities.
"We're on target to move to the [144kbps] data rates by the last quarter of next year or early in 2001," Robinson says. The move to full 3G capacity will probably follow within another year beyond that time frame.
Flying in Formation
Now that the key intellectual property issues are resolved, the mobile wireless industry has an opportunity to make significant headway toward the goal of harmonizing the CDMA platforms comprising the two versions of 3G, notes Wendy Fulk, vice president of marketing and communications for CDMA systems at Ericsson Inc. (www.ericsson.se), which acquired Qualcomm Inc.'s (www.qualcomm.com) IS-95 base-station systems business as part of the compromise on the standards issue. "We're taking the approach of looking at both W-CDMA and CDMA2000 and trying to avoid doing two separate product designs," Fulk says.
Over the past couple of months, this process has revealed many common areas and led to a tightening of the development schedule for Ericsson's 3G products, she adds. "When you look at the types of services people are talking about introducing in Japan and Europe--video e-mail, for example--you realize we're not overstating the case for 3G."
Wireless operators in Asia and Europe have been more aggressive than U.S. operators in bringing data services to market, and now the market response is pushing them to higher speeds. GSM operators in Europe, with new frequencies to work with in getting 3G-level services off the ground, are gearing up for a jump to 384kbps data rates as soon as the standards-based gear can get to market.
Nortel sees late 2001 as a reasonable timeframe to expect the fully loaded, standardized version of W-CDMA to enter the market, Whitton says. "3x is less certain," he adds.
1x appears far more certain than 3x, as Nortel and its competitors race to get product to market as quickly as possible. "1x is so powerful, people may stay with it awhile," Whitton says.
So far, though, the entities moving fastest toward fulfilling the packet infrastructure vision articulated by Cisco and Motorola are those tied to the W-CDMA framework, also known as universal mobile telecommunications system (UMTS) . Spearheaded by AT&T Wireless, British Telecommunications plc (www.bt.com), Telecom Italia (www.italia.it) and Rogers Cantel Inc. (www.rogers.com) with participation by many major vendors, the new group, 3G.IP, wants to ensure that next-generation wireless services such as IP voice, high-speed data and videoconferencing are based on an architecture that uses an evolved implementation of general packet radio system (GPRS), the packet-based communications system that generates operations commands to the base stations, controllers and other network components of GSM and TDMA networks.
This is a start, says Cisco's Shantz, but without major tweaking, the strategy will not work for the IS-95 sector. "We're trying to decide whether the best approach for us is to try to persuade this group to include refinements that would make 3G.IP meet our goals or to move along a separate track," Shantz says. Motorola, as a member of the 3G.IP group, is closely monitoring its evolution, but so far, no formal dialogue has beenestablished between the two camps, he adds.
The risk is the wireless industry could end up with multiple ways of interfacing the packet-networking domain with the wireless infrastructure, making it difficult for suppliers of gateways, call-agent controllers and other enhanced-service components to build equipment cost effectively for the wireless sector. With the industry so close to getting on a track that would move it in tandem with the wireline transition to packet communications, failure to take this step would appear to be an untenable option.
Shantz isn't sure yet the light will go on. "It really depends on whether the guys who understand this can get through to the top decision makers," he says. |