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Technology Stocks : TIBCO Software Inc - ( Nasdaq - TIBX )

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To: Ed Schultz who wrote (116)11/10/1999 2:10:00 AM
From: Mark Sagarin   of 289
 
THE WALL STREET TRANSCRIPT Questioning Market Leaders For Long Term Investors View PDF Version PAUL HANSEN - TIBCO SOFTWARE INC (TIBX) CEO Interview - published 11/04/1999 CEO INTERVIEW: VIVEK RANADIVE, TIBCO SOFTWARE INC (TIBX) THE WALL STREET TRANSCRIPT CORPORATION (HAU216) VIVEK RANADIVE is the Founder, Chairman and CEO of TIBCO, a global leader in enterprise software and integration technologies and services. The technology vision on which he founded the company in 1985 has been realized far beyond the financial services industry, where the company built the first digital trading system. McGraw-Hill recently published Mr. Vivek's book title: 'The Power of Now: How Winning Companies Sense and Respond to Change Using Real-time Technology.' His book offers an exciting look at how companies can harness real-time technology to compete in the Internet age. In the words of Sun Microsystems CEO, Scott McNealy, Mr. Vivek's book is 'about business, about speed, about competition, about technology, and about success in an increasingly global networked society.' Prior to founding TIBCO, Mr. Vivek was President and founder of a UNIX consulting company. Previously, he held management and engineering positions with Ford Motor Company, M/A-Com Linkabit and Fortune Systems. Mr. Vivek is a frequent presenter at banking, software and business conferences on business issues, including real-time infrastructure software and other software technologies; how to leverage the Internet; and the future of banking, information management, and trading of financial instruments, oil, gas, electricity and water. He earned an MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar. Mr. Vivek received a Master's Degree in Electrical Engineering and a Bachelor's Degree in Mechanical Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). PAUL HANSEN is Executive Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer at TIBCO. Mr. Hansen is responsible from TIBCO's information services, human resources and facilities, and accounting and finance, including mergers and acquisitions and investor relations. His staff includes the VP of Finance, VP of human resources, controller, sales controller, and director of information services. He spent 14 years with Adaptec prior to joining TIBCO in July, 1998. As the Corporate Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer he was instrumental in the growth and sustained profitability of Adaptec. Mr. Hansen joined Adaptec in 1984, when the company had annual revenues of $7 million. In fiscal year 1998, Adaptec reported revenues of more than $1 billion and has had 55 consecutive quarters of profitability. He holds a BS in Business from the University of New York. SECTOR: application software TWST: Could we start out with a brief overview of TIBCO Software? Mr. Ranadive: Yes. TIBCO Software is a company originated with a company I originally founded about 15 years ago, and the original company provided software for Wall Street, and this was a company that I sold to Reuters about four years ago. TIBCO Software was spun off from Reuters about two-and-a-half years ago from this company and the mission of TIBCO Software was to take the $300 million worth of technology that we had developed over the years and to leverage it for e-business and as real-time Internet infrastructure. The company is two-and-a-half years old; its purpose is to provide real-time, end-to-end infrastructure for e-business and for business-to-business commerce. TIBCO Software went public in July of this year and has major corporate investors including Cisco, Reuters, Sun and Yahoo! TWST: Providing back end software for e-commerce is a big charge, are you focusing on a particular segment of that market? Mr. Ranadive: We're focusing on the end-to-end integration, so really the plumbing: you can think of it as the Cisco of software. Just as Cisco ties networks together, we tie information and applications together on the intranet, extranet and Internet. TWST: Who are some of your customers? Mr. Ranadive: Our customers are 400 of the world's largest financial institutions, 60% of the world's semiconductor manufacturing companies, most of the large energy companies, many of the large telecommunications service providers, and the major portals, like Yahoo!, Netscape, AltaVista, Lycos, CBS SportsLine. So it's really companies across four or five different vertical markets: finance, high tech manufacturing, energy, telecommunications, portals. TWST: What is the potential size of this market? Mr. Ranadive: IDC says that the market is going to grow from less than a $1 billion to over $15 billion in the next three years. TWST: That's a rather substantial growth rate. Mr. Ranadive: Allegedly, the fastest-growing segment of the software industry today. TWST: And whom are you competing with in this space? Mr. Ranadive: The market is fragmented. At one end of the market there's IBM, and they have a set of infrastructure products. At the other end there are small companies like Active Software and Vitria, and what makes us unique is we provide the whole range of capabilities needed for e-business infrastructure. There's probably eight or 10 different things you need to do in order to provide e-business infrastructure. There is a variety of players Active does one piece, Vitria does another piece and Backweb does another piece. TIBCO provides the whole 'stack', the total software infrastructure solution for e-business. TWST: Is that one of your big competitive advantages? Mr. Ranadive: People want to reduce the number of moving parts and we provide one part versus having to glue eight parts together. TWST: As we look out of this rapid growth business over the next couple of years, are there going to be any big changes or developments other than just the sheer speed of e-commerce developing that investors should be aware of? Mr. Ranadive: I believe that there's going to be a consolidation and that just as in the networking market six, seven years ago there was Cisco and there were many other players, and then one company emerged as the leader. Because people want a one stop solution. And so, similarly, you are going to see that kind of convergence in this market as well. TWST: Even at this early stage? Mr. Ranadive: I think it will happen sooner than it did in the networking market. I think for a couple of years all the boats will rise, but very quickly one boat will be bigger than all the other boats. TWST: What is going to cause that rapid consolidation? Mr. Ranadive: The market demand for everything has moved up and everybody wants to have this economy, of what one of our customers refers to as 'calls, clicks and come in'. You want to be able to come into a store and spend 30 minutes, or you want to be able to call on the phone and you will spend no more than 30 seconds. Or you want to be able to come over the Web and, quite likely, you'll spend no more than two seconds. TWST: So it's all Internet speed? Mr. Ranadive: It's all Internet speed, and so people don't have the luxury of waiting for a long time to be able to do all this. And they don't want to have to go to eight different people to try and glue it all together when they can get it from one company. TWST: Now are you properly positioned today to take full advantage of what's going on out there? Mr. Ranadive: We are always very paranoid. We feel that we're better positioned than anybody else. IDC has named us the market leader in this space, and we feel that we have the strongest position, we have a clear message, and we need to continue to execute well. TWST: Do you have the structure you need in place to get you through the next couple of years? Mr. Ranadive: When you say structure, if you refer to the management team, yes, it is a very strong management team. When you say structure, if you mean partnerships. Yes, we've got some fantastic partners, we need to add more, but we're well on our way to doing that. If when you say structure you mean capital structure. Yes, I think we have a dream team of owners; we have the biggest and best ownership structure imaginable for a company in this space. We've got Cisco, the largest networking company; Reuters, the largest content provider; Sun, the largest provider of servers for the infrastructure business; and Yahoo! the most prestigious and largest portal in that space. So, I think in terms of, yes, if that's what you refer to as structure, then yes. We need to do more. We made an acquisition a couple of weeks ago and we continue to do that kind of thing to expand our presence. TWST: What kinds of acquisitions are looking for? Mr. Ranadive: We're looking to be number one in key vertical markets, and we are looking at growing the verticals we participate in. So we're looking for companies that have a strong customer presence in key vertical areas. So the acquisition that we did, a company called InConcert, has a strong presence in the telco sector and that's why we bought them. TWST: Is there some particular area that you are addressing that seems to offer you the biggest opportunity over the next couple of years? Or is it hard to identify at this point? Mr. Ranadive: I think, you know, every few months there's a lot of hype about a different thing, but what we do is very simple. We solve one class of problem, which is: How do you provide the end-to-end infrastructure for e-business? And whether it's business-to-business, business-to-consumer, business-to-employee, and whether it's for telco's or for high tech manufacturing companies, it's a simple problem to describe, but it's hard to solve and we solve it in a complete fashion. TWST: If investors are trying to keep an eye on TIBCO, what should they look for as benchmarks or milestones to judge your success? Is it partnerships? Mr. Ranadive: No, I think they should look at three things. One, they should look at revenue growth, and they should look at steady growth year in, year out. And I believe that's important. Two, they should look at breadth of the offering. See, the challenge that investors have is there's like 15 companies, who's going to be the next Cisco? And what characterized Cisco was predictable and sustained revenue growth. That was number one. Number two, one stop shop, and Cisco provided a one stop shop. So they should look for breadth of product line. And number three, they should look for domination by vertical market. Mr. Hansen: You know, we just finished our 11th quarter and we're on a better than $100 million run rate right now, so that speaks pretty well for how well we are being received by those potential customers out there. And that's obviously a leading factor. We talked a little bit about how well we were organized. We're pretty geographically dispersed. We have organizations in Europe, Australia and Asia. In Europe we have 60-65 people today and we're getting more than 40% of our revenue outside the U.S. So we think we're very well placed to take advantage of the opportunity. Mr. Ranadive: I guess, one question I have for you and for Deutsche Bank, which is, we did $24 million in revenues in our 11th quarter. Has there ever been a software company that did that or more than that in their 11th quarter? TWST: Not that I can think of right off-hand. There may be, but I think it's going to be hard to come up with. Mr. Ranadive: I don't think even Microsoft did that, so we think we're on to a good thing here. TWST: When investors look at the company, what should they worry about? What keeps you up at night? Mr. Ranadive: What keeps me up at night is how we continue to attract good people. And that's obviously a worry that every high tech CEO has. And we need to continue to make sure that we grow at a rate that that allows us to maintain our high standards in terms of the quality of people we hire. TWST: How are you doing in attracting people in this difficult environment? Mr. Ranadive: We have, so far, very well. We'd like to do better, but so far, as well as one can expect in this environment. TIBCO Software is viewed as a hot stock and a hot company and we're in a hot space and, at the same time, we're able to attract people we are not looking for people that are short-timers: we're looking for people that have a long- term view of things, and I think we're attracting those kinds of people. TWST: What kind of programs have you put in place to attract them? Mr. Ranadive: We have a three part philosophy in attracting people. One, you know, we obviously want to pay them well, but we don't want to bribe people to come here. We want them to come here because they want to be here. Two, we like giving people bonuses potentially very significant bonuses based on performance. And three, we give them equity in the company. Now, having done and said all of that, we also create a community of the best and brightest, which attracts more of the best and brightest. And so, in our target markets, we find that we have the best expertise on the planet. Mr. Hansen: I think the kind of work that we do really excites people and that's one of the ways you attract more people. I'm sure you've observed before that leading companies attract winners. We're focused on continuing to attract winners over the long-term. TWST: When you're in a hot market like e-commerce, that's where people want to be. Mr. Hansen: Absolutely. TWST: How do you feel about the value the market is currently putting on your company? Mr. Ranadive: The analysts that cover us give TIBCO their highest rating. Yet, when you compare our market cap with competitors like Vitria who is only one-fifth our revenue but has a market cap approaching ours , there is a serious market discrepancy and TIBCO is clearly undervalued. TWST: What is the market missing? Mr. Ranadive: I think the market is missing that TIBCO has the potential to do in software what Cisco did in hardware. TWST: And is that because? Mr. Ranadive: I think it's because focus on our customers rather than hyping our company. In fact, if you look at any of the really highly valued companies in the infrastructure space, we trade at a significant discount to them. Mr. Hansen: We're focused on long-term growth for our investors and sometimes you have to be patient with the response from the market. Mr. Ranadive: Yes, because other companies like Inktomi, Ariba, Portal and BroadVision, that have fairly significant market valuations, and we don't compete with these companies, but we're in a similar space. So I would say that relative to our peer group, we're pretty seriously under valued at this point. TWST: So you have to quit hiding your light under a bushel basket, as it were? Mr. Ranadive: I'm confident that by staying focused on delivering quarter after quarter results, you'll see the appropriate recognition from the market. TWST: If you were sitting down with some potential investors, what two or three reasons would you give them to go out and buy your stock at today's prices? Mr. Ranadive: First, we're the number one player in the number one segment of the number one sector of the software industry. In other words, we're leading the segment that has the fastest growth rate. Second, every quarter we're putting more distance between ourselves and the competition. Third, my previous comments about value should be encouraging for any investor. TWST: Sounds like a good reason to me. Mr. Hansen: TIBCO's success today in e-business solutions has been accelerated by the reliability and scalability of our underlying technology. This will continue to be extremely important as the e- business and business-to-business markets develop. We feel we are well positioned in this marketplace. TWST: Is there anything we should have touched on and missed? Mr. Ranadive: No, I think you had a pretty comprehensive list of questions. TWST: Thank you. VIVEK RANADIVE Chairman and CEO PAUL HANSEN Chief Financial Officer TIBCO Software, Inc. 3165 Porter Drive Palo Alto, CA 94304 (650) 846-5000 (650) 846-5005 - FAX Each Executive who is the featured subject of a TWST Interview is offered the opportunity to include an Investors Brief or other highlight material to be provided and sponsored by and for the company. This Interview with Vivek Ranadive, Chairman and CEO and Paul Hansen, CFO, of TIBCO Software, Inc., is accompanied by an Investors Brief containing corporate information. Copyright 1999 The Wall Street Transcript Corporation All Rights Reserved  The Wall Street Transcript (TWST) interviews are published verbatim, and TWST does not in any way endorse or guarantee the accuracy of any information or opinions expr-
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