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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 96.40+5.4%Dec 19 9:30 AM EST

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To: richard surckla who wrote (34202)11/10/1999 5:06:00 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (1) of 93625
 
Hi richard surckla; Re oldtimerinvestor from Yahoo
commenting that the chart that Micron included in their
Buyers News has DDR in increasing quantities since 1996.
micron.com

Tell him that he's misreading the chart. Here's the full
description of what started and ended when, starting from
the top:

Old RDRAM: 1996 to 2001
256Mb RDRAM: 2000 to xxxx
256Mb DDR: 2000 to xxxx
256Mb SDRAM: 1999 to xxxx
128Mb RDRAM: 1998 to xxxx
128Mb DDR: 1999 to xxxx
128Mb SDRAM: 1998 to xxxx
64Mb DDR: 1999 to 2001
64Mb SDRAM: 1996 to xxxx
64Mb FPM/EDO: xxxx to 2001
16Mb SDRAM: xxxx to xxxx
16Mb FPM/EDO: xxxx to 2001
4Mb FPM/EDO: xxxx to 2000

The earliest DDR is 1999. It is true that DDR SDRAMs are
now available, providing you know where to get them, so
this is correct.

Micron Buyers News Extra is your opportunity to hear
from Micron's management team


So here is Micron officially telling their memory customers
that RDRAM is going to be a small niche product. To fully
understand the importance of this, you also need to take a
look at the two big contracts that Micron signed with major
box makers.

If the box makers thought that RDRAM was going to be the
next big thing, they would be signing agreements with
Samsung, not Micron. Instead of listening to Intel and
Rambus on the future of Rambus, the people to listen to
are the customers of Intel and Rambus.

The farther a customer gets from Intel, the less likely
that they are going to say nice things about Rambus. This
story is not a story about a superior technology taking
over an industry. This is a story about an industry giant
attempting to force an inferior (mostly because of costs)
technology onto the rest of the industry.

People intending on holding RMBS for the long term are
betting that Intel has enough power to do this. But Intel
has been weakening in their resolve all year long. It is
easy to see the trend.

-- Carl
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