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Strategies & Market Trends : Market CORRECTION or CRASH?

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To: Don Roberts who wrote ()4/14/1997 6:40:00 PM
From: Dale Schwartzenhauer   of 22
 
Based on today's intra-day low of 6356 and the 95 point rebound thereafter, I think there's a good chance the market has bottomed temporarily. In addition to the nice turnaround, other arguments in favor are the equality of this decline (minor wave 5 compared to minor wave 1), and the lack of new lows in the bond market. What was unimpressive was the volume and the A-D ratio or market breadth. If this is a low for intermediate wave 1, I expect a rebound to about 6720 over the next week, followed by a collapse to around 5000, to end intermediate wave 3. Thereafter, we should get a sharp wave 4 rebound, theoretically to about 6075, and a final blowoff to about 4410. Many of these numbers could change based on the height of a rebound (if it started today). If we get another new low first, most of these targets will be proportionately lower. I should emphasize this is all based on technical analysis of the Elliott Wave variety, which you may or may not be a believer in. They correctly called the last 10% decline, so one has to at least give it lip service. Best regards.

Dale
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