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Technology Stocks : Compaq

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To: rupert1 who wrote (71639)11/11/1999 9:51:00 PM
From: rupert1  Read Replies (1) of 97611
 
I lifted this summary of the DELL CC from the DELL thread. There are some interesting points in it for a COMPAQ investor:

Conference Call Summary:
Margins hurt by 150% Dram increase and flat panel display availability, but going forward will adjust prices in line with component prices. Outlook for component cost is positive and availability is positive. Samsung deal improving availability.

ROIC 281%

Generated $1.1 Billion in cash flow from operations or .40 / share ( or more than double EPS of .18).

Cash conversion cycle of a record of - 17 days, believes a/r days can go significantly lower

Asia Pasific 69% growth

Expecting strong 4th Q

Notebook growth 55% yoy

Margins expected to INCREASE

Very healthy demand

Internet business (43% of revenues) would make it a Fortune 100 as stand alone business

Expect further penetration in small business and consumer segment (>100% yoy)

Market share 45% in Gov't sector

Grew 4 share points in worldwide server market to bump IBM

Servers are particularly strong

Expansion opportunities:
Global, if they achieve US share = $13 billion
Enterprise = $10 billion opportunity
Consumer and small business (high margin businesses)

Backlog going into Q4 = Q3 expect there is a richer mix of backlog (i.e., notebooks)

Enterprise/ notebooks (high margin)now 41% of business

Component cost increases are temporary and margins will increase

EPS would have been .22.5 /share if it hadn't been for DRAM increases

MSD said it is fair to assume that Dell will make similar deals to the msft/radio shack and aol/gtw deals

Mikey believes China is storming ahead, Latin America will be very strong, Europe will accelerate growth

Hope this helps!

:o)

Drew
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