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Gold/Mining/Energy : Battle Mountain Gold (BMG)

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To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (15)4/14/1997 8:08:00 PM
From: Ralph LaSardo   of 174
 
BMG really took a hit today. this has got to be the lowest price
in a few years. earnings were (17) for
the quarter and (36) for the year: below expectation by a significant
margin. The fact that production was only 10% hedged didn't help
(that is what attracted me to BMG to begin with). The additional
burden of depreciation and asset write offs also had a big negative
impact.
It seems to me that the only hope for BMG in the next
year or two is higher gold price (above $450) and production cost to
decrease to the $200 area. IMO the major accelerators for this is
a declining dollar coupled with increasing inflation. The most recent
PPI data seems to give a flicker of inflation, but the Fed also
appears vigiliant in fighting inflation. Politics, particularly
relating to Japan, does not appear to favor a weakening dollar,
considering the recession that they are in now.
Bottom line, it is going to be rough going for gold and BMG.
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