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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs
SPY 691.72-0.1%Jan 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (24372)11/14/1999 8:58:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Read Replies (3) of 69835
 
Commentary on Chip and Chip Equip Stocks:

Hot does not begin to describe these stocks. Applied Materials, a
semiconductor equipment maker, had sales in the past 12 months of
roughly $4 billion. Its market value is 10 times that figure. The Altera
Corp., a maker of integrated circuits, is trading at approximately 16 times
its $772 million in sales over the past 12 months.

To put this run-up in perspective, during other booms for semiconductor
makers, the stocks rarely traded higher than two times their sales.

What strikes some as peculiar about the current stampede into
semiconductor shares is that worldwide sales of chips are expected to
rise just 14 percent this year over last. Moreover, a multitude of
computer manufacturers and resellers -- IBM and Inacom, to name one
of each -- have recently warned that the outlook for their businesses in
the fourth quarter and beyond looks worrisome.

Why are investors paying as much as 90 times earnings for companies
whose futures depend on orders from computer makers who are singing
the blues?

nytimes.com

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