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Non-Tech : Amati investors
AMTX 1.630+1.9%3:59 PM EST

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To: SteveG who wrote (14300)4/15/1997 12:19:00 PM
From: j rector   of 31386
 
>>But those that DO, usually more than make up for the other losses. So we will see
what AMTX can do. In the meantime, what is fair market value for a stock without
earnings for 2 more years?

Steve,

it depends on projected earnings. AMTX is doing about 30-40 million
this year in revenues. Lets say we have 100% revenue growth for
2 years--looks like at 20% margins you would have about 20-30 million
in earnings. At a Price/Sales ratio of 5:1, you would be looking at
a market cap of 500 million or a stock price of about $36/share.
Discounting at 30%/year yields a current share value of $16. If
you discount at 50%/year, you get a share price of $9. My own guess
is that anything under $12-$14 is undervalued given my best guess
as to future earnings.
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