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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 652.53-1.5%Nov 20 4:00 PM EST

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To: Stephen M. DeMoss who wrote (33897)11/21/1999 2:04:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Stephen, your right we don't know how far this nasdaq rally can go, we could have just a little sideways consolidation like post thanksgiving last year.

from jaime choy's post:

The NAZ volume peaked last Wednesday with 147.7% of the average volume. It has dropped dramatically since then, to 124.6% the average volume. In the past I have noted that record volume peaks like this were always followed by a price peak with a significant pull back within 2 to three weeks.

Similarly, the NYSE stocks volume peaked as well but earlier, on 11-4-99, with a whopping volume of 1.364 billion. That was 2 weeks and 2 days ago. And it was a whopping 165.9% of the average volume. That has to be the highest percentage above average that I have ever seen since I started paying attention to the stock market in 1993.


Using the volume precedes price theory, the nyse volume has a longer and bigger gap, also a bigger gap in the internals.

if we are in for a pullback, a safer bet would be to short the weaker nyse, gambling on a major top, you would want to be short the techs, but you might end up with coal in your stocking -g-

and by the way, you should attend the short-a-holics anonymous meeting with me and get in the 12 step program to kick the shorting habit -g-

hi my name is boobby and i'm a bearaholic and all bears are banned from wall st. -gg-
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