Doug R.,
I am trying to follow you. I've studied a few charts in my time and your IL/ACT reminds me of an article I read once in TA of Stocks & Commodities. The person who wrote that article was using a pitchfork, I believe.
Your last post says that the "IL is shown to be a line that defines extremely high expectations right back where it's constructed. The short term technical profile of the stock when it hits the high that's used is....how can I say....overcooked."
Okay, then, according to this criterion PAIR was 'overcooked' on 5/17/95 and again more recently on 9/29/99 (the dates you provided). Please take a look at the charts I posted. Maybe it's a matter of taste, but PAIR sure doesn't look overcooked on those dates. A little parboiled, perhaps, but certainly not frothy in either instance. The day of the Hoke hoax showed some irrational exuberance, and the rally to 16 1/8 last May might qualify as overbought, but the 9/29 high is tame in comparison, and hardly 'overcooked'. Likewise, the high you use in 1995, May 17, is couched below a trend line drawn between two adjacent peaks: again, not exactly overcooked.
I hope you don't mind me asking these questions. As you will most certainly agree, clarity is a virtue in TA, where so much confusion reigns. Please take the time to answer the questions I asked on my last post. I do appreciate your input. Thanks. |
