HERE COMES CHINA Nov. 22, 1999 (ELECTRONIC COMMERCE NEWS, Vol. 4, No. 47 via COMTEX) -- Entry Into World Trade Organization May Open Doors To World's Market Prize If last week's tentative China/World Trade Organization agreement should say anything to e-commerce firms and Internet service providers, it should be: Get motoring! "This is the green light people have been waiting for," says Ken Zita, managing director for New York-based Network Dynamic Associates, a telecom investment advisory firm. "If people are interested in doing business, they need to start now. A lot of people will be buying airline tickets." Alan Phan, president of Hartcourt [HRCT] a Long Beach, Calif.- based telecom vendor, has been working the Chinese market for two years now and still is scurrying to keep ahead of the wave of competition headed to the politically turbulent country once it joins the World Trade Organization. "The size of the market is huge and the standard of living is increasing," Phan says. "The price of computers continues to drop and more people will have access to computers. By 2007 China will surpass the U.S. in terms of Internet usage. This is what we are looking at." Jumping The Gun Hartcourt obtained a license to conduct e-commerce in China six months prior to the potential China/WTO agreement, and plowed ahead with an online trading service similar to E*Trade [EGRP]. If China joins the WTO, its markets will be easier to access, Phan says. Before China and the United States harmonized foreign investment issues, the Internet did not have a secure future in China. Sure, there was plenty of public interest, but legal issues made investment banking firms and private institutional investors wary of financially backing start-ups. "Right now we are getting calls, 'Do you still want the money or not?'" Phan says. "We hope to keep our competitive edge, and continue to move quickly, establishing ourselves in the market before big competitors come in." And the company is right to be concerned by the possibility of competition - which some predict will be a stampede. Many companies have been salivating at the gates of China, waiting to bite into its 1.3 billion person market - even if it is a miniscule piece. It's those 1.3 billion people that many industry analysts predict will make China the largest consumer of technology in the new millennium. Currently, buying power lies in the hands of 10 percent of Chinese who have a good standard of living. That's at least 130 million consumers ripe for the taking. Global Crossing [GBLX], the Bermuda-based builder of a global fiber optic network, has its eyes locked on China. The company just signed a deal with Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. to form a 50/50 joint venture to sell telecommunications and Internet services in Hong Kong. Global Crossing CEO Bob Annunziata says the venture could be a jumping-off point for selling services in greater China, depending on whether the World Trade Organization pact opens up the telecom market there. "We now have the government's encouragement," says Bill Schrader, president and CEO of Herndon, VA.-based ISP PSINet [PSIX]. "We don't want to go in fighting with the government." PSINet, which purchased over 10 carriers in Japan, Hong Kong and Korea last year, has not purchased assets in China thus far. "We didn't want to do that until signals were pretty clear from the Chinese government," Schrader says. The company, which has been preparing for entry into the Chinese market for two years, will move forward this year, Schrader says. Other Asian markets may be easier to gain entry to, but do not carry the profit potential. "It's difficult to make profits in Taiwan," Schrader says. "It's been challenging to find a suitable partner because most companies are losing money. It's a combination of the market status and market evolution." The Hard Part Begins While the Chinese market still may prove to be a volatile one for hopeful fiber carriers and ISPs even after the U.S. and Chinese Congress sign the WTO accord, it's a huge market fiber carriers and ISPs are determined to get into. "Doing business in China is complicated, even for the Chinese," Zita says. "They've got to [go] through a lot of rigmarole. WTO streamlines these non-tariff trade barriers, but they have to work with the cultural environment. You can't take an Asian approach. With mainland China, you have to play along with 3,000 years of history." (Tom Goff, Global Crossing, 310/385-5200; Alan Phan, Hartcourt, 562/426-9796; Bill Schrader, PSINet, 703/904-4100; Ken Zita, Network Dynamics, 718/858-6618.) - Ruth Suarez -0- Copyright Phillips Publishing, Inc. *** end of story *** |