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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study!

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To: Ken Adams who wrote (11899)11/25/1999 4:29:00 PM
From: Richard Gibbons  Read Replies (1) of 14162
 
Hi Ken,

It still doesn't make sense to write covered calls on a stock you expect to go down. There are two ways I look at it.

One is that a covered call is the equivalent of being short a put. So when you say that you're covered calling a stock going down, it's the equivalent of saying that you're selling puts when you expect the stock to go down. Obviously, that doesn't make sense.

The other way to look at it is that the delta of the calls that you sell will be less than 1. i.e. for every point the stock falls, you'll make less than 1 point on the options. So, even if you can buy the options back for cheap and use the money to buy the stock, you probably could have done better just by holding cash, waiting for the stock to fall, and buying it after the fall.

There are cases where it might make sense, like if you already own the stock, think the stock will fall only a tiny bit, and don't want to sell for tax-related reasons.

But in general being short puts on a stock you think is going to fall seems like a bad idea.

Happy Turkey day,

Richard
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