evworld.com
evworld.com
These two links from E.V. world help to bolster my sometimes flagging spirit regarding where E.V's are eventually heading. Even if Honda for some unknown reason is not going to use our batteries this year I am certain that they will have to see the light down the road but even if they don't there are all those other electric vehicles that will need our quality batteries.
Click To Listen RealAudio Presentation - Length: 11:43 minutes
Dr. Peter Harrop
Dr. Harrop is the former CEO of Mars Engineering in the UK and recently completed a comprehensive survey of some 440 EV companies in 26 countries around the world, authoring a report entitled, "Electric Vehicles Are Profitable." He states that in the "solar system" there are some 6,000 companies involved in the electric vehicle business. 10% currently build or will be introducing EVs and 70% are profitable. He estimates by 2010 there will be 10,000 EV companies despite numerous mergers and acquistions. By 2000, he estimates there will be 7 million EVs in the world.
Harrop stated currently industrial EVs are the largest sector with some $1 billion in projected sales for 2000. He also sees Toyota becoming the dominate EV manufacturer with its cars, trucks, buses and fork lifts. This is a trend that will threaten smaller, niche companies. He also pointed to the example of Yamaha which makes EVs for the disabled, electric bicycles and scooters.
He suggests that people will buy EVs not primarily because of air pollution, but more because it makes "new things possible" and replaces human effort. An example is the growth of supermarket electric carts for the elderly and disabled. One company has build and sold 70,000 in the US alone. Another form of EV are the home robots that are selling in the "tens of thousands" in Japan which can vacuum floors.
Currently the largest sector by dollar volume are heavy industrial EVs, golf cars, and light industrial EVs respectively. However, by 2010 Harrop sees cars taking the lead followed by heavy industrial and two-wheel EVs such as bicycles and scooters. In 1999, some 1.2 million EVs will be built and the growth rate will accelerate to 20% a year by 2010, at which time some 10 million EVs will be built annually. |