It may simply be that Ariad is not on anybody's radar...take Peter's marketcap list... Message 12183288 geeze, twenty percent of my portfolio doesn't even make the 50M cut! And, to be honest, I am clicking on the etrade IPO button for Tularik more frequently than I access the quote for Ariad. People want the highfliers, the momentum, the safety of crowds, and who can argue...it's paid off this year spectacularly. Now someday I'll be standing in the right spot, Ariad will have it's melt up someday, maybe in just a few weeks, probably months, maybe years. But I have to hover here and wait for the updraft, I cant risk stepping away for even a day.
If I'd known that all the money has to play each tier consecutively, til it works it's way down to the nth tier values, I'd have played it that way, kind of a shame, but I'll live.
~20M outstanding shares...maximally diluted ~30M with 35M cash nearly in hand and a potentially multibillion dollar platform (say, ten years from now) which could probably be sold this moment for somewhere between 50-250M. Sorry the range is so large...and I am sorry that my noisy efforts here on SI and on Yahoo have not taunted anybody lurking from spilling an authoritative estimate. Many folks do respond, what to call it, stochastic noise enhancment, hehheh, but the folks with the answers seem content to lurk, or ignore. |