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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Goutam who wrote (81729)12/13/1999 2:59:00 PM
From: Petz  Read Replies (1) of 1573216
 
Goutama, new estimates for competition:
EPS: $0.34 (was 0.32)
Athlon: 1.1M shipments @ $250 (was 1.1M @ $270)
K6x: 4.8M@$50 (was 5.0M @ $56)
Flash: $270M (was $300M)
Stock price: $35 (was $40.19)

I lowered my optimistic Flash because of continued reports of softness in spot pricing, lowered Athlon ASP because Athlon 500 systems seem to be almost half of retail sales, lowered K6 ASP because 450's seem to outnumber everything else combined. I had forgotten about embedded and chip set revenues (about $85M), so my EPS actually goes up a bit.

My stock price prediction was lowered because the combination of units and ASP's above results in an overall average of just $87, which will be considered disappointing to some.

Petz
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