Tero, while there isn't much cdmaOne data now, the pdQ is plodding along and by the accounts I've read, the users are happy with it. I doubt it is a mass product. More likely to be a mass product is the latest Intel cdmaOne notebook puter for Japan, though only 2000 are to be sold initially.
I'm now betting that WWeb devices will be more like notebook puters than phones. Web pages are simply too unreadable and ineffectual with images off, tiny screens and stuff. Cutting them down to size is a dead-end street which will end up an evolutionary zero.
The trend will be notebook puters with phone ASICs built in, such as those to be trialed in Japan in January. After there are millions of those, the next trend will be to wearable screens = sunglasses-looking devices with virtual images, projected 1m square in front of you. Sony already has such devices, though not for CDMA phones [just as a virtual reality device]. However the glasses are still too cumbersome, though certainly quite small and light.
I'm betting on normal screens for most WWeb. Where cellphones are used, they will put the data into the viewing mechanism be it a 30cm TFT colour screen or a wearable virtual image. It won't be those little cellphone screens.
WAP, GPRS, EDGE and probably W-CDMA are never going to amount to much. Speed, cost and good quality will drive the WWeb page design and it will remain as now. No dinky, invisible, slow loading pages!
Now there are some words which might need to be eaten!
My money is already where my mouth is.
Maurice |
