Interview with Flynn in fanancial post:
nationalpost.com Wednesday, December 15, 1999
Rebuilding credibility job one as Newbridge tries to calm rumours
Jill Vardy Financial Post
OTTAWA - Newbridge Networks Corp. is scrambling to convince customers that rumours of its imminent sale won't hurt its ability to fill contracts for its telecommunications equipment, the company's new president said yesterday.
"Does all this speculation drive me crazy? Absolutely," said Pearse Flynn, Newbridge's president and chief operating officer. "It gets our customers thinking and our employees thinking, and our competitors are trying to take advantage on both fronts."
Newbridge closed its purchase of Stanford Telecommunications Inc. yesterday. It has been winning small contracts for its equipment and is restructuring to try and ensure its survival as an independent company, Mr. Flynn said.
"We have a go-it-alone plan and that's the way we're going," Mr. Flynn said. "I can't comment on any speculation because I have nothing to comment on."
Most analysts expect and hope Newbridge will be sold, despite Mr. Flynn's efforts to ensure its independent survival. "He's clearly been brought in with a role to play -- to rally the troops and find a way to have this work as an independent company. But it's very difficult," said one financial analysts who has covered Newbridge for three years.
The analyst, who asked not to be named, gives the company less than a 50% chance of surviving as an independent company. "It doesn't sound logical to me that Newbridge would have hired Morgan Stanley on a whim," the analyst said. Newbridge has hired the U.S. financial house to evaluate any takeover bids and negotiate with potential buyers. It said on Nov. 18 that it is open to all possible options for its future, including bids from larger telecommunications equipment suppliers. Since then, the stock has whipsawed on speculation it would soon be sold.
"I'd be telling lies if I said our competitors weren't trying to exploit the fact that our name is in the press every other day with wild speculation. We're having to do a lot of work with our customers to reassure them," added Mr. Flynn, who took the helm after Alan Lutz suddenly resigned on Nov. 2. The company reported second-quarter earnings that were less than half what analysts had expected.
The company is working quickly to get its new telecommunications switches out the door and beef up its new business in the local multipoint distribution system (LMDS) market, a new wireless technology.
Mr. Flynn said Newbridge is winning half the LMDS contracts on which it bids. The purchase of Stanford Telecom will help cement that leadership position.
"The technology we get from that deal will give us a real lead in the broadband wireless LMDS market," he said. Newbridge's revenues from LMDS will be 40% to 50% above the $100-million (US) the company had projected for this fiscal year, he added.
But Newbridge's more immediate problem is to recapture market share in the United States for its flagship asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) equipment, which makes up the vast bulk of its revenues. A report by International Data Corp., to be released tomorrow, shows Newbridge is the market leader in ATM in the Asia-Pacific region, capturing 37% of total sales in that region.
But Asia-Pacific only represents about 18% of Newbridge's ATM sales.
Newbridge announced Monday it is initiating field trials for its next-generation switch with British Telecom PLC and SBC in the United States. U.S. research firm Ryan Hankin and Kent (RHK) estimates that the market for core switches like Newbridge's should reach $8-16 billion (US) in 2003. |