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Technology Stocks : Jimbo's Playhouse/CPQ

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To: Richie who wrote (5425)12/16/1999 7:25:00 AM
From: Kenya AA  Read Replies (1) of 12662
 
Hi Richie: Congrats on your CMGI buy!!! Well done! I'm not very good on deciding when to sell either, but I can offer some food for thought as well as muddy the water a bit. <ggg>

When do you know a run has lost it's steam?

It depends on what you mean by "a run." Look at a 2 year chart.

bigcharts.com

If you had bought CMGI at the beginning of 1999, would you say that the spike to 165 in April was the end of "a run?" If so, according to O'Neill, the determining factor was that CMGI broke out of its upward channel line on heavy volume. The problem with the channel line break method now, though, is that it's pretty hard to draw channel lines on CMGI now because it's so stilty. Hmmmm.

Decidely down on large volume?

Maybe. But then you might have sold yesterday. <ggg>

A breech in the 7 day EMVA?

7 day?? You're kidding!

Where would be a good selling point for this stock?

One rule of thumb is that once the stock breaks out of a cup base to new highs, it should run the same amount as the difference from the top of the base to the bottom. Using that theory, the top was 165ish and the bottom was 65ish - 100 points. Add that to the top of the base and you get 265.

Hope this helps.

<ggg>

K
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