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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc.

DELL 132.08

-0.8%

Dec 1 3:59 PM EST

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To: Geoff Nunn who wrote (149498)	12/19/1999 8:08:00 PM
From: edamo	Read Replies (1) of 176387

geoff......risk/return all due respect....what are the figures for 97-99....i think you may be surprised....past average returns are not relevant in the past few years as a new dynamic has been created. the total number of shares traded friday on the nyse was more then all nyse shares traded in all of 1964. times they are a changing....that is why averages, and econometric models fall short most times. just examine greenspans speech to congress last year, his predictions based on known past figures were in fact off by over thirty per cent. your numbers fail to qualify and quantify that which can't be calculated........sentiment, psychology and perception........which is what determines the current and future price of a share of stock. applying your logic, dell stock flat, not so risky....ge stock large increase, much more risky..........in reality the market views ge not as a the "smokestack" of old, and dell as no more then a highly efficient assembly/sales company. ge reaps the rewards of future vision....not so for dell.......

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