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__________________________________ This will be the last weather post on the TGEN thread, sorry for spamming up the thread folks.
To answer your question in part Walley, and hedge the foggy forecast a bit in case it doesn't get terribly bad...
yeah, fog should increase through the week--as we trend toward weak offshore flow the inversion will lower. Right now there is still a significant moist boundary layer--lots of stratus 1-2000 feet and only local fog tonight, but once we get rid of that, dense shallow radiational fog, mainly night and morning hours, will fast develop, maybe late tonight, probably Tuesday night. This ridge is exceptionally strong for this time of year--once the fog sets up, it may not even burn off in the afternoon unless some east winds can mix down out of the passes to help dry things up, that does not look likely.
We actually saw some sun this afternoon however, more than I'd have expected. Northerly winds aloft may help to disperse the stratus again tommorrow, then with the switch to more of an easterly flow the fog can settle in--Puget Sound does not get a lot of drying and mixing from east winds this time of year in easterly flow, sometimes the east winds just skip right on over, staying above the inversion.
Right now the inversion is around 2500 feet--the air is clear above that, except for some cirrus-- that is why we have the stratus under that cap. Lower the cap, low stratus essentially becomes ground based cloud or fog.
I can't speak for Sea-Tac policies, never understood myself how fog could gunk things up so badly with all the fly by wire technology and such, they probably have to space out the traffic, and older planes get locked out with low IFR conditions.
I try to use the MM5 forecast sounding--seems to want to take the invesion and surface it with decent north winds aloft, maybe some sunshine Tuesday afternoon again, not so bad so far.
I guess you could boil all this down to one idea: Once dense fog forms, it will likely persist, and you don't need a weather forecaster to tell you that <g> |