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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical Analysis- Indicators & Systems

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To: Dick Brown who wrote (798)4/21/1997 3:05:00 PM
From: Richard Estes   of 3325
 
Dick As you saw from the list of systems, you can lose if you trust the wrong system. There are many parts to the game. Lets say you can't pick stocks based on all the things said in the last three years. And back in 1987, you pick IBM, and went from 176 to 40 and then in 94 it started moving again. lets say you did it because you worked for company, and you got in at top. 10 years later you aren't even if you are still holding. You fell in love with it, it was a value/blue chip/etc.; CNBC talked about it nearly everyday. A guy back in 87 told you " I wouldn't touch it but if you do, use DAHL. What happened if you did? You made 41% and stayed out nearly 1/4 time. Terrible, but you picked the stock. The system let you survive, your poor choice.


Total net profit 4134.41 Open position value N/A
Percent gain/loss 41.34 Annual percent gain/loss 4.17
Initial investment 10000.00 Interest earned 0.00

Current position Out Date position entered 2/14/97

Buy/Hold profit -1301.42 Days in test 3616
Buy/Hold pct gain/loss -13.01 Annual B/H pct gain/loss -1.31

Total closed trades 20 Commissions paid 1000.00
Avg profit per trade 206.72 Avg Win/Avg Loss ratio 2.18
Total long trades 20 Total short trades 0
Winning long trades 9 Winning short trades 0

Total winning trades 9 Total losing trades 11
Amount of winning trades 9408.26 Amount of losing trades -5273.85
Average win 1045.36 Average loss -479.44
Largest win 3735.12 Largest loss -888.82
Average length of win 98.67 Average length of loss 36.64
Longest winning trade 294 Longest losing trade 92
Most consecutive wins 3 Most consecutive losses 5

Total bars out 1254 Average length out 59.71
Longest out period 145

System close drawdown -4258.11 Profit/Loss index 43.94
System open drawdown -4258.11 Reward/Risk index 49.26
Max open trade drawdown -863.82 Buy/Hold index -417.68
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