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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club

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To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (10623)12/22/1999 11:53:00 AM
From: mister topes  Read Replies (2) of 15132
 
Do you remember all the way back in the summer of 1998 when Brinker began talking about annual returns reverting to the historical mean? The Dow was then in the 9000's for the first time in history. He said then investors should be happy to see the Wilshire 5000 return 10% to 11% per year in the future given the higher valuations being paid. It is interesting that even with the huge Nasdaq runup the overall
return on the Wilshire 5000 since then has been more in line with the historical mean. And that includes the Nasdaq runup as those stocks are in the Wilshire 5000. It looks like the reversion to the mean has already happened despite all of the hoopla on the Nasdaq market.
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