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Technology Stocks : Seac - Seachange New IPO
SEAC 3.350-4.3%Oct 22 10:15 AM EST
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To: caveat who wrote (354)12/22/1999 5:02:00 PM
From: PeterBurgess  Read Replies (2) of 431
 
Caveat,

Alex Brown estimates Yr 2000 revenue = $118.4m
Hoak, Breedlove, Wesneski est yr 2000 Revenue $110.5m
Average $114.5
(With Vod revenue ~ $20m;
Broadcast revenue ~ $33.5m (up 85.5%))

current # shares ~14m (pre-split)
current price/revenue ~ 8

price/revenue market cap share price
5 $ 573 $41
8 $ 916 $65
10 $1,145 $82
15 $1,718 $123
20 $2,290 $164

I think that the current p/r multiplier of 8
will increase as the vod and broadcast revenue
accelerates. Perhaps a p/r between 10-15 would
be more likely, producing a stock price between
$82-$123 (double to triple).
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