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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum
WDC 139.09-0.8%3:59 PM EST

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To: Mark Madden who wrote (7602)12/23/1999 2:50:00 PM
From: Mark Madden  Read Replies (2) of 9256
 
I can?t disagree with some of the recent gloomy posts but I think there are some bright areas also. The semiconductor industry is a lot like the drive industry in that technology is changing the environment. They open new markets with increased capacity and lower cost but the increased capacity also reduces unit sales to older markets. It is the new markets that will open up niches and specialties with new customers producing higher margins.

Growth in the drive sector has been non-existent if measured in sales or earnings but the unit growth has been steadily over 15% per year. The lower prices have reduced revenues and earnings to no growth status but this will not continue forever. With a good pricing environment sales in earnings could grow beyond the 15% unit growth.

Certainly there are risks and unforeseen future markets but these factors usually end up positive in technology fields.

Regards,
Mark
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