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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum
WDC 151.95-0.6%1:20 PM EST

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To: Mark Oliver who wrote (7604)12/23/1999 3:58:00 PM
From: Robert Douglas  Read Replies (3) of 9256
 
One can hope that all the bad is built into the price. Yeah, but is that really the best investment strategy?

Sometimes it is.

I know that isn't a popular strategy in these days of buy what's hot and watch it get hotter but these things go in cycles. It's easy to locate hot technologies. It's harder to put an accurate value on them.

It's very possible that not only is all the bad built into the price of disk drive stocks, but then some. It's even more likely that all the good and then some is built into these other stocks whose future is deemed so bright.

My problem is that 90% of my disk drive exposure is in Seagate and its value is now dependent on Veritas whose market cap is approaching $40B. I'm beginning to think that the risk of the Veritas is outweighing the upside potential of the DD business. I'm very close to selling.
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